INDICATA Market Watch: Online B2C used BEVs continue to ignite the market

Online B2C used BEVs continue to ignite the market

The Dutch market continues its drive towards greener motoring with online B2C used BEV sales in May 50% up on May 2021 compared to a 4% increase in hybrid sales over the same period and sales of used petrol cars and used diesel cars falling 22% and 31% respectively year-on-year.

Total online B2C sales for all powertrains fell 8.2% month-on-month in May which equates to 18.6% lower than in May 2021. After five months have now passed it puts the market 5.7% down on the same period last year and 4.7% lower than in 2019.


Whilst not as constrained as in some markets online B2C stock levels are still not optimal with stock levels going into June 2.7% lower than a month earlier and 3.4% lower than in June 2021.

But stock constrain is still impacting the market for BEV powertrains due to the limited volumes available. Manufacturers are struggling to support any tactical sales of very young used cars under 1-year-old resulting in a 28% fall in May YoY. This has meant any BEVs available are being snapped up resulting in stock turn leaping up 60% YoY to 5.2x. In contrast hybrid stock turn dropped 9% to 5.0x, petrol fell 17% to 4.8x and diesel fell by almost a quarter, 22% to 4.6x.

Our price index is based on a consistent pool of vehicles indexed against January 2021 and has been reset for the start of the new year which creates a typical uplift of around 2%-4%, followed normally by a lifecycle driven downward curve in average prices. Whilst sales have eased back month-on-month and stock levels are not as low as in many markets the demand is keeping inflationary pressure on online B2C used car prices which rose a further 0.5 percentage points going into June MoM, and this means prices are now 7.2pp higher than at the start of this year.

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Background

On the 24th of March INDICATA published its first White Paper “COVID-19 To what extent will the used car market be affected (and how to survive)?”. This document explored:

    Early market trends - Initial impact of the virus and the social distancing measures implemented.
    Market scenarios – A range of impacts based on infection rate development and historical market data.
    Mitigation – Risk assessment by sector coupled with potential corrective actions.

We committed to keeping the market updated with live data, volume, and price, to keep abreast of the fast-moving environment.

As such we are pleased to announce “Indicata Market Watch”.

How do we produce our data?

Indicata analyses 9m Used Vehicle adverts across Europe every day. To ensure data integrity, our system goes through extensive data cleansing processes.

The Sales (deinstall data) in this report are based on advertisements of recognised automotive retailers of true used vehicles. As such, it does not include data related to private (P2P) advertisements.

Where an advert is removed from the internet, it is classified as a “Sale”.

Appendix

INDICATA Market Watch June 2022 (The Netherlands)
INDICATA Market Watch June 2022 (Europe)